Top EventHigh
Russia threatens more Kyiv strikes and tells foreign nationals to leave
Russia threatens more Kyiv strikes and tells foreign nationals to leave
BBC World•乌克兰冲突•2h
NOW SURFACE
What matters right now
Desk Snapshot
Stocks / vol quick read
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Top Risk Region
霍尔木兹压力快照
高压力
Risk Score
84
cluster score
24H Events
13
event count
High Risk
4
4 source diversity
Risk Keywords
Drivers
航运/油轮传导 · 能源传导 · 军事升级 · 政策/通道扰动
UST10
4.57 %
中性
DXY
119.28 index
美元偏强
WTI
112.25 USD/bbl
偏多
VIX
16.76 index
中性
DXY
119.28 index
1D +0.61
UST10
4.57 %
1D 0
WTI
112.25 USD/bbl
5D +10.53%
VIX
16.76 index
5D -2.9%
GEO INTELLIGENCE SOURCES · AIR / SEA / MILITARY / OFFICIAL
GEO INTELLIGENCE HUB
AIR TRAFFIC · 航空流
OpenSky Live Map
Global ADS-B aircraft positions
FlightRadar24
Commercial flight tracking
FlightAware
Flight tracking + routes
SEA LANES · 航运
MarineTraffic
Global vessel tracking
VesselFinder
Ships + AIS tracking
IMF PortWatch
Port congestion + chokepoints
ACTION BAR
ACCESS PATTERN
01
Scan Macro Regime
Start with pulse, then Now Surface, then overview and rates.
02
Shift to Event Regime
Use Geo event flow when conflict or chokepoints start repricing energy and freight.
03
Return to Execution Inputs
Cross-check headline flow against macro charts before taking directional risk.
OVERVIEW · FIRST SCREEN DATA SURFACE
Overview
Cards → jump via anchors
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FED SURFACE · POLICY / CURVE / BALANCE SHEET / OFFICIAL FLOW
FED DECISION SURFACE
Calendar · macro bridge · speaker intel · docs shelf
ext Key Dates
Macro → Policy
Speaker Intel
Docs Shelf
Federal Reserve Panel
Policy · Curve · Balance Sheet · Official Flow
Direct Fed surface integrating policy rates, front-end and long-end curve, balance sheet, official speeches, press releases and quick links.
Source: Federal Reserve + FRED
Updated: N/A
Policy 0 · Curve 0 · BS 0
EFFR / SOFR
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CURVE
LOADING
BALANCE SHEET
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OFFICIAL FLOW
LOADING
Policy
No policy data
Curve
No curve data
Balance Sheet
No balance sheet data
RECENT DEVELOPMENTS
近期动态
No data
PRESS RELEASES
官方公告
No data
SPEECHES & TESTIMONY
发言与证词
No data
Quick Links
No links
GEO COMMAND DECK
Command Deck
指挥台 / Summary · Signals · Premium Modules
Risk Region
霍尔木兹压力快照
Score
84
24H Events
13
Signals
11
Summary Strip
结构摘要 / Regime Summary
霍尔木兹压力快照
Key Developments
关键进展
军事与导弹风险维持高位
航运与能源路径脆弱性正在被重新定价
政府与特朗普信号正在放大波动
Market Impact
市场影响
原油波动中枢继续偏高
航运与油轮弹性资产维持敏感
黄金与避险需求仍有支撑
Trade Path
交易路径
偏多前端原油凸性
关注油轮与航运弹性资产
以黄金对冲地缘冲击
Market Signals
实时市场信号板
Rates, FX, energy, gold, volatility and crypto overlays driven by FRED-linked macro data. 利率、美元、能源、黄金、波动率与加密资产的联动观察。
Source: FRED · FRED 宏观数据
Updated: 2026-05-25 23:50:11.069 UTC
Signals: 11
美国2年期国债收益率
利率利率平稳US 2Y Treasury
中性 · 2026-05-21
4.08 %
1D: +0.04 %
5D: +2 %
美国10年期国债收益率
利率利率平稳US 10Y Treasury
中性 · 2026-05-21
4.57 %
1D: 0 %
5D: +2.24 %
美国30年期国债收益率
利率利率平稳US 30Y Treasury
中性 · 2026-05-21
5.1 %
1D: -0.01 %
5D: +1.59 %
WTI原油
能源能源压力WTI Crude
偏多 · 2026-05-18
112.25 USD/bbl
1D: +3.26 USD/bbl
5D: +10.53 %
布伦特原油
能源能源压力Brent Crude
偏多 · 2026-05-18
116.73 USD/bbl
1D: +2.77 USD/bbl
5D: +10.01 %
美国天然气
能源能源压力US Natural Gas
偏多 · 2026-05-18
3.07 USD/MMBtu
1D: +0.18 USD/MMBtu
5D: +8.87 %
美元指数代理
外汇美元走强Dollar Index Proxy
美元偏强 · 2026-05-15
119.28 index
1D: +0.61 index
5D: +1.04 %
VIX恐慌指数
波动率波动常态VIX
中性 · 2026-05-21
16.76 index
1D: -0.68 index
5D: -2.9 %
Partial Failures
gold · GOLDPMGBD228NLBM · FRED GOLDPMGBD228NLBM failed: 400
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霍尔木兹 深度监控 · Hormuz Deep Monitor
事件链、传导链、风险再定价与交易路径的深度拆解。 Deep-dive on event chain, transmission path, repricing and trade setup.
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航运压力监控 · Shipping Stress Monitor
跟踪油轮、航线、保险、港口拥堵与通道脆弱性。 Track tanker lanes, insurance stress, route fragility and port bottlenecks.
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能源传导面板 · Energy Transmission Deck
连接油价、美元、利率、黄金与风险资产。 Link energy, USD, rates, gold and cross-asset repricing.
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战争情景引擎 · War Scenario Engine
把 headline 转成情景矩阵、触发条件与交易决策树。 Convert headlines into scenario matrix, trigger logic and decision tree.
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LIVE EVENT FLOW
Timeline
最新事件流 / Live Headline Flow
12 Items
乌克兰冲突BBC World高风险
Russia threatens more Kyiv strikes and tells foreign nationals to leave
Russia threatens more Kyiv strikes and tells foreign nationals to leave
BBC World•乌克兰冲突•2h ago
伊朗冲突BBC World高风险
More than 1.5m foreign pilgrims begin Hajj despite Iran war fears
More than 1.5m foreign pilgrims begin Hajj despite Iran war fears
BBC World•伊朗冲突•3h ago
伊朗冲突FT高风险
Netanyahu orders Israeli military to step up attacks on Hizbollah
Netanyahu orders Israeli military to step up attacks on Hizbollah
FT•伊朗冲突•4h ago
伊朗冲突FT高风险
Iran is beating Trump at the art of the deal
Iran is beating Trump at the art of the deal
FT•伊朗冲突•12h ago
伊朗冲突FT高风险
FirstFT: Trump strikes more cautious tone on peace talks with Iran
FirstFT: Trump strikes more cautious tone on peace talks with Iran
FT•伊朗冲突•14h ago
乌克兰冲突FT高风险
UK defence secretary’s plane has GPS jammed near Russian border
UK defence secretary’s plane has GPS jammed near Russian border
FT•乌克兰冲突•12h ago
伊朗冲突BBC Middle East高风险
I survived a missile strike in the Strait of Hormuz, but my friend has not been found
I survived a missile strike in the Strait of Hormuz, but my friend has not been found
BBC Middle East•伊朗冲突•2d ago
伊朗冲突BBC Europe高风险
EasyJet boss says summer flights won't be hit by jet fuel shortages
EasyJet boss says summer flights won't be hit by jet fuel shortages
BBC Europe•伊朗冲突•4d ago
伊朗冲突BBC Middle East高风险
British couple on new hunger strike in Iranian jail, family say
British couple on new hunger strike in Iranian jail, family say
BBC Middle East•伊朗冲突•5d ago
乌克兰冲突BBC World高风险
Rosenberg: Luhansk strike sparks Russian accusations and vow to retaliate
Rosenberg: Luhansk strike sparks Russian accusations and vow to retaliate
BBC World•乌克兰冲突•2d ago
乌克兰冲突BBC Europe高风险
Ukraine's Baltic allies unsettled by repeated drone incursions
Ukraine's Baltic allies unsettled by repeated drone incursions
BBC Europe•乌克兰冲突•4d ago
乌克兰冲突BBC Europe高风险
From AI to interceptors, Ukraine is trying to drone-proof its skies
From AI to interceptors, Ukraine is trying to drone-proof its skies
BBC Europe•乌克兰冲突•4d ago
EQUITIES & VOLATILITY6
S&P 500
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Nasdaq Composite
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VIX
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Dow Jones
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Russell 2000
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MOVE (Rates Vol)
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RATES & YIELD CURVE6
UST 10Y
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UST 2Y
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2s10s Spread
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3m10y Spread
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Effective Fed Funds
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30Y Mortgage Rate
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LIQUIDITY & MONEY5
Fed Balance Sheet
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ON RRP Balance
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M2 Money Stock
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Bank Reserves
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SOMA Holdings
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COMMODITIES6
WTI Crude
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Brent Crude
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Gold (LBMA AM)
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Nat Gas Henry Hub
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Copper
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Aluminum
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FX & DOLLAR5
Broad Dollar Index
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USD/JPY
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USD/EUR
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USD/CNY
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USD/GBP
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